Italian Serie A Prediction - Genoa VS Lazio

Italian Serie A - Genoa VS Lazio
Match Time: 20-04-2024 00:30 Saturday (GMT+8)
Football Livescore | Match Prediction & Tips
-------------------------------------------------------------
Team Analysis
Genoa, promoted to Serie A this season, has performed quite well. They are currently in 12th place in the league with 9 wins, 12 draws, and 11 losses. They have a comfortable 12-point gap from the relegation zone occupied by Frosinone, indicating early success in avoiding relegation. Although Genoa's attacking ability is not outstanding, with only an average of 1 goal per game, their defensive capabilities are quite good, conceding just over 1 goal on average. Despite not winning many matches, their solid defense makes it challenging for opponents to defeat them. However, it's not uncommon for most Serie A teams to prioritize defense, so this is not surprising.

Lazio, who finished second last season and secured a spot in this season's UEFA Champions League, surprised many with their performance in the group stage, advancing to the Round of 16. However, due to challenges of competing on multiple fronts and issues with squad depth, Lazio's performance in the domestic league has been lackluster this season, at times hovering around mid-table positions. Fortunately, their league performance improved after the conclusion of Champions League matches. They once climbed to the top six, but recent form has dipped again, with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches, until their recent victory over Salernitana halted the downturn.

Odds Analysis
Initial data for this match favored Lazio with a high handicap at the beginning, but the odds shifted to a lower handicap for Lazio. This indicates limited support for Lazio. Despite the significant difference in points and standings between the two teams, Lazio's recent form has declined noticeably. However, given their reputation, and Genoa being a newly promoted team this season, Lazio has not made any concessions. As long as they draw, they won't lose the game. Considering their first-leg encounter in the league where Lazio gave a 1-goal handicap and won, and their Italian Cup match where they won with a 0.5 handicap at home, it would be reasonable for them to give a handicap of at least 0.25 away.

Pick: Genoa